|
SILVER
INVESTOR
MESSAGE
Source for Silver Eagles
This
message is going out to the Silver Investor mailing list. We
have had numerous requests to help people find a source for
Silver Eagles. Miles Franklin was one of the highest rated
dealers in our bullion sellers report and we are letting our
readers know that Miles Franklin has only about 30
sealed 2008 mint boxes left that contain 500 one ounce
Silver Eagles.
Sincerely,
David Morgan
. . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . .

Established
1990
July 15, 2008
Issue #62
Welcome
to Miles Franklin
WEEKLY
GOLD AND SILVER UPDATE
Dear David
Morgan
As
the bull market in precius meotals
continues it's 7 year advance, there's a need to
supplement the Miles Franklin Newsletter with timely
updates. They will focus on interesting and
important events in the precious metals industry, and
will be emailed mid-week.
David Schectman
CEO, Editor in Chief
Miles Franklin
|
| So
much to say, so much to do, so little time |
Honestly folks, my head is spinning this morning.
Less than 24 hours ago, I finished the Miles Franklin
monthly 12 page newsletter and I barely scratched the
surface of the significant topics that should be
covered. Jim Sinclair's prophetic words,
"This is it," keep ringing in my ears.
When asked what he would do if he were President, he
replied "I'd resign." Sinclair's
analysis and advice is as good as it gets and he is
telling you - using my own words - that it's too late
to fix the problem! This is it - we're screwed!
Sorry to ruin your day, but if you are still mostly or
entirely in dollars and are not making immediate plans
to run for the hills then you will be screwed!
|
| The
financials are collapsing, so what happens? Gold goes
down, silver goes down, oil sells off, and the Dow
goes up! |
GATA's Chris Powell hit the nail on the head: There
are no markets anymore, just interventions. This
morning gold was up nearly $10 and silver was flying.
Then Bush and Bernanke appeared on TV trying to sooth
the market. Suddenly, gold was taken down $20
from the high, silver fell nearly a buck, The DOW
rallied 150 points, oil fell $7, and the dollar firmed
up off its lows. Can't you see what's happening?
Can there be any doubt that there is a Gold Cartel out
there and Plunge Protection Team which are constantly
interfering in US financial markets to influence
market participants and perceptions. Count on
this type of market intervention whenever Bush or
Bernanke appear on TV and whenever a US economic
report is released that is very inflationary and VERY
gold friendly? It happens every time.
|
| Not
one person in ten thousand has a clue |
Most people don't have a clue about what is coming
down the road now. How can they? Our
government has rigged the markets for years and years
and our media has forgotten what honest open-minded
reporting is all about. I was talking to a close
friend yesterday and he told me that he just heard an
"expert" on CNBC tell the audience that the
failure of IndyMac was nothing to worry about - it was
just one bank. How on God's green earth do they
allow such idiots to mis-lead the listeners?
Just one bank? This is the second largest bank
failure ever, (second in size only to the 1984 failure
of Continental Illinois Bank which led to a big jump
in the price of gold at the time). Don't these
fools realize that the Federal takeover of this
"one bank failure" is going to leave 10,000
depositors with $1 billion in deposits that EXCEED the
$100,000 FDIC insurance limit and they will be luck to
get any of it back. Don't they realize that this
"one bank failure" will use up 10% of the
total FDIC fund, which is only $53 billion. How
safe if your money in your bank? How safe is the
dollar?
An article in yesterday's Wall Street Journal reports
that analysts believe that as many as 150 banks
nationwide could fail over the next year a half.
Bob Chapman recently stated that the failure of just
one mid-sized bank would wipe out the entire FDIC
insurance fund. What then? More government
bailouts with newly created money? As Jim
Sinclair says, "Weimar Republic, here we
come."
|
| George
Soros says the current credit crisis is the most
serious financial crisis of our lifetime |
He says Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac won't be the last
financial disruption. They face a solvency
crisis, not a liquidity crisis. It is inevitable
that this financial crisis will affect the real
economy. The dollar is vulnerable as the economy
slides into recession and the government's response
involve bailouts and more debt accumulation.
|
| Wall
Street and the major media applaud the actions of the
Fed and the Treasury in the Fannie and Freddie
bailouts. All is well in dreamland! |
First it was Bear Stearns, then Fannie Mae, Freddie
Mac and now IndyMac. All are gone or government
restructured within months of each other. Who is
next?
U.S. banks, such as Washington Mutual and Cleveland's
National City, are in full retreat following the
collapse of IndyMac. Washington Mutual went down 35%
and National City plunged 27%. There are sure to
be many more in the near future.
Well, if you want my take on all of this, you should
expect higher US interest rates, a weaker dollar and
the soaring price of gold.
|
| Why
were Fannie and Freddie bailed out? |
Once again, LeMetropole Café nailed it. They
wrote, if the US bails out Fannie Mae bonds as
suggested in the recent article, "We're All
Homeowners Now, Nationalization of Fannie, Freddie
Unavoidable," inquiring minds just might be
wondering "Who is the biggest beneficiary?"
It's a good question too. The Chinese Government is
the Top Foreign Holder of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac
Bonds.
As politicians call for taxpayer bailouts and a
government takeover of troubled mortgage lenders
Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, we would like to point out
that the bailout is a transfer of possibly hundreds of
billions of U.S. tax dollars to sophisticated
investors and governments overseas. This is not
about saving "the little guy," it's about
saving the large investors in Fannie and Freddie
bonds.
In this issue, I will quote several informative
articles taken from Jim Sinclair's www.jsmineset.com
daily web site. I have cherry picked what I
believe to be the most important information that they
have offered up in the past week. No one has done
a finer job of warning in advance of the problems that
are now surfacing on a weekly basis. The future is
NOW. My best advice to you is to take everything
he has to say very, very seriously.
Freddie and Fannie
bailout will lead to a Weimar Republic type inflation.
The following was written by Monty Guild on Jim
Sinclair's website. While stocks declined, bonds
rose and offset the losses sufficiently for them to
maintain their lifestyle. Their comment: "Don't
panic and sell in a bear market- Diversification is
extremely important for shareholders setting up
retirement income plans."
It's all reasonable stuff, if you ignore that 100% of
the so-called diversification is among paper assets that
depend on paper money and government promises to hold
their value. Unfortunately, governments have a long, sad
history of breaking promises; perhaps that is why dollar
denominated assets have lost 43% of their purchasing
power against gold over the last 12 months. Regrettably
for American Funds investors, they do not have gold as
an option.
So how bad is the loss in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
across the USA? Compared to this year's tax stimulus
rebates, for instance, it nullifies about 60% of the
benefits. The destruction of $100 billion in market
value from Fannie and Freddie is a tragedy that will
surely deepen the gloom and reshape the spending plans
of families across America. Perhaps it will also lead
people to demand to know who was irresponsible enough to
invest their hard-earned savings in these fraudulent
enterprises. It may also motivate some people to finally
open their eyes and try to save what remains of their
assets.
One last thought on the Fannie/Freddie follies: everyone
believes the wayward cousins will soon be bailed out by
the government, and they are probably right. Due to the
sheer size of the potential rescue, though, there is now
talk among mainstream analysts that the Federal
Government's own pristine credit rating could be placed
in jeopardy. This will be a signal event on the road to
Weimarization.
As I've mentioned before, despite the many deflationary
elements present in today's American economy, the
repatriation of the vast quantity of Dollars held
overseas would trump all these influences as the
domestic money supply swells grotesquely.
It has required monumental mismanagement and corruption
to get us to this point. With Fannie and Freddie we may
have finally reached our Rubicon
|
| Sinclair
lays it out for you - he is right, "this is
it" |
Gold is headed to and through $1200. This is the
Mantra and truth. All "smoke and
mirror" reactions are buys. That is the entire
review. I do not think this, I know this.
Why, you ask?
History was made last week but so few understand it
and less understand how to protect themselves.
The events of last week are so serious that saving
current newspapers for the generations to come will
amaze the people who read them in the future. Some of
the questions they will ask are:
- How in the world did people not see the great
dollar-destructive inflation coming?
- How could they possibly have stayed in the
dollar?
- How could people have not have bought gold?
- Why didn't everyone switch their hard earned
dollars into gold?
- Why were the OTC manufacturers not arrested for
first degree financial murder?
- Why did so many educated people fail to see that
"This was it"?
- Why did so many educated people fail to
understand that the unwinding of the entire
financial system was accelerating?
The facts of the debacle:
- The largest bank failure in US Financial history
occurred last Thursday because of OTC derivative
losses.
- The two giant real estate financiers, Freddie
and Fanny, are balance sheet insolvent. In plain
English this means that both companies are busted,
and all because of OTC derivatives.
- The damage to the financial system is estimated
to be $1.6 trillion dollars. This number shocks
people, but it is still far below the real number.
Once again we should all give thanks to the OTC
derivative Geeks.
Freddie and Fanny are to be rescued by smoke and
mirrors designed to look like private sector
investments.
This weekend the US Treasury and The US Fed are
calling all the banks and financial institutions that
have populated the Begging Bowl Fed Loan Window to
stay solvent and instructed them to buy the
multi-billion dollar bond issue scheduled to be
auctioned on Monday. That is a joke as these
institutions will have to buy them for their own
account if they don't have insane clients to stuff
with this paper. The question is where are these
busted financial entities getting the funds for the
Fanny and Freddie bail out? Are these funds coming
from the various Federal government entities that can
buy any US security or bond?
Remember last Thursday?
- We had Lehman's share price melt down. Guess
what that has meant recently.
- Freddie and Fannie are only technically broken,
which is much better than being really broken
according to the spinners. Call the company
holding your debt and tell them, as you must by
contract, that you are technically busted. See how
they react.
- There is nothing to worry about now regarding GM
because they told us they are not going bankrupt.
There is a comforting thought.
- Bernanke told the world the Fed has not lost one
penny on the junk they have exchanged for T bill
perma-loans. Of course they haven't, none have
been sold as the Fed is the only buyer. I
imagine the Fed is not required to mark to market
on them since there is no market to sell them to.
- The dollar looked like soft ice cream sitting in
the summer heat.
- The Greatest Show on Earth once again was
starring Secretary Paulson, but today it was in a
TV ratings competition with the Bernanke show. I
have never seen such brown nosing in my life than
the questioning legislators lavishing thanks and
well done to the director. That is dangerous as he
might start to believe it. I guess we know why
there has been all the noise from our financial
leaders now for the third week.
|
Asia,
Europe stocks drop on credit woes
By LOUISE WATT, Associated Press Writer
LONDON |
Asian and European stock markets fell Tuesday as
investor confidence in the U.S. financial system
eroded further despite a government-backed plan to
help beleaguered mortgage financiers Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac.
In morning trading in Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 fell
1.27 percent to 5,233.10, Germany's DAX lost 1.80
percent at 6,088.40, and France's CAC-40 retreated
1.51 percent to 4,079.91.
In Asia, every major index suffered declines, with
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index dropping more than 3.8
percent and Taiwan's benchmark losing over 4.5
percent. In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 index dropped nearly
2 percent to close at 12,754.56.
While losses spread across most sectors in Asia,
financials were hit particularly hard as investors
worried that trouble in the U.S. financial markets
would spillover to Asia.
Japanese traders were rattled by a local business
newspaper report that the country's top three banks
hold a combined 4.7 trillion yen ($44 billion) in
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac debt. Another newspaper
report unnerved Taiwan's market with news that at
least two leading financial institutions have invested
in the mortgage giants, and the country's central bank
may also have purchased their bonds.
In China, rumors were circulating that the Chinese
government had also invested in Fannie and Freddie
bonds.
The two government-chartered companies received a
boost Sunday when the U.S. central bank and Treasury
Department promised to step in with short-term funding
and other aid should mortgage losses mount. Together,
the companies hold or back about half the outstanding
mortgages in the United States.
A sell-off of regional banks overnight on Wall Street,
as well as fears that other American banks might face
difficulties ahead, only added to the unease. On
Monday, the Dow Jones industrial average fell 45.35,
or 0.41 percent, to 11,055.19 after spiking nearly 140
points in early trading.
"Investors are quite concerned we could be
heading toward a meltdown in the equities market if
there's no rebuilding in confidence, especially in the
U.S.," said Alex Tang, head of research at Core
Pacific-Yamaichi in Hong Kong.
In Japan, banks and insurance issues got slammed.
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group plunged 5.32 percent,
Mizuho Financial Group was down more than 5 percent,
and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group plunged 6.11
percent. Earlier in the day, the Bank of Japan kept
interest rates on hold, deciding to take a
wait-and-see approach amid the current volatility.
"With regard to risk factors, global financial
markets remain unstable and there are downside risks
to the U.S. and the world economy," the central
bank's policy board said in a statement.
A higher yen dragged down major exporters such as auto
makers and electronics firms. A stronger Japanese
currency reduces the value of exporters' profits when
repatriated from abroad.
In Hong Kong, the blue-chip Hang Seng Index plunged
almost 840 points to 21,174.77 _ its lowest close in
nearly four months.
China's biggest lender, ICBC, dove nearly 5.2 percent,
and HSBC lost more than 3 percent. Heavyweight China
Life Insurance slid 5.3 percent.
In mainland China, the benchmark Shanghai Composite
Index fell 3.4 percent to close at 2779.45.
The drop was sharpest for real estate developers,
banks and insurers. Among financial companies, China
Life and Ping An Insurance both tanked 6 percent.
Midsize lender Pudong Development Bank Ltd. dropped
7.1 percent.
The government is due to release closely watched
inflation data Thursday, which could add to pressure
for an interest rate hike. Analysts expect a decline
from May's 7.7 percent but expect the rate to stay
above the government's 4.8 percent target for the
year.
Elsewhere, South Korea's benchmark slid 3.2 percent,
India's Sensex was down 4.6 percent in late trade and
Australia's main index lost 2.1 percent.
|
| Richard
Russell comments on the dollar (www.dowtheoryletters.com) |
Remember all the recent talk about "the strong
dollar"? It's not happening. Below we see a daily
chart of the dollar, and what we have here is a
perfect head-and-shoulders top pattern. Friday the
pattern started to break down. Today the decline went
further. It wouldn't take much for the dollar to break
to a new low.

Score Board -- Year to date -- All Down with a bow to
globalization --
Index
S&P 500 -15.59%
Frankfurt Dax -23.73%
London FTSE 100 -18.51%
Hong Kong Hang S -20.24%
Paris CAC-40 -26.96%
Tokyo Nikkei 225 -14.82%
ASIA
Seoul Composite -17.37%
Singapore Straits Times -15.55%
Sydney All Ordinaries -21.07%
Taipei Taipex -14.83%
Shanghai Shanghai B (China) -39.94%
A 1-year T-bill pays about 2.2% interest, but the CPI
is rising at 4.2%. Thus, in one year you have lost 2%
of your purchasing power, but probably even more
because the true rate of inflation is much higher than
4.2% (John Williams of ShadowStats estimates the rate
of inflation is over 10%).
In contrast to this loss of purchasing power from
holding dollars, gold has risen seven years in a row
at an annualized average rate of 17.4%. This year gold
is already up 14.9%, and silver is doing even better.
It has risen 26.7% so far this year.
The metals will continue to rise as the dollar
continues to plunge. We have now broken 72.00 on
the USDX. Sinclair's 62.00 prediction will
come faster than anyone can imagine.

The dollar is sitting on the bottom trendline of its
recent uptrend channel, threatening to fall into the
abyss. Avoid the dollar. Like I said, own gold
and silver instead.
Since the Fed will not raise rates to save the dollar
and fight inflation you will see gold and silver and
many of the commodities continue to levitate. They
really have no choice because if they do raise rates
they will collapse of the real estate market, and it
will increase the problems besetting the big banks and
put the nail in the coffin of the already tumbling
stock market. Quite a corner that they have
painted themselves into.
|
| The
Dow and gold |
Richard Russell points out that the ratio between the
Dow and gold has hit a new low. Currently, the
Dow will buy only 11.44 ounces of gold. In July
1999 one share of the Dow bought 43.75 ounces of gold.
In other words, since mid-1999 the Dow has lost 73.8%
of its value in terms of real money -- gold. Talk
about a silent and insidious bear market, you're
looking at one.
Gold seems ready to mount an assault on the
psychologically important $1,000 level. Sinclair
says, $1000 is not the number, but instead $990 is
going to be the Battle at the Bridge and we are the
knight. It will delay us a tad, but not stop us. Look
forward to $1200 as the most powerful magnet plus $25
to $50 being the Normandy Beach for the gold price. It
is all in the dollar. Oil is a major side show.

Gold on the move, and today the stocks responded. Cash
and gold, remember what I advised -- CASH and GOLD.
|
Richard
Russell on the stock market
|
What am I thinking about these bright summer days? I'm
thinking, as usual, about a long list of things, but
one item I've been zeroing in on is the50%
Principle as it applies to the current market.
The 50% Principle works like this -- We have the Dow
low of 7286 recorded in October 2002. And we have the
record Dow high of 14164 recorded in October 2007. The
50% or halfway level between Dow 7286 and Dow 14164
comes in a10725.
As of today's close, the Dow wasjust
375 points above the 10725 halfway level. The
50% Principle tells us that if the Dow closes
decisively below 10725, then there is a good chance
the Dow will continue down to test the level from
which the entire advance started -- that level is
7286.
And I wonder to myself -- what would happen if the Dow
breaks below 10725 and then declines to the 7286 area?
My immediate thought is -- disaster. And
probably a severe recession or even a depression.
Remember, the Dow is only 375 points away from the
halfway or 50% level.
Anyway, that's one thing I'm thinking about, and
that's one thing I'm watching. I'm watching it the way
a barn owl watches a mouse -- in other words, with
extreme interest.
|
Fannie
Plan a `Disaster' to Rogers; Goldman Says Sell
By Carol Massar and Eric
Martin |
|
July 14 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Treasury
Department's plan to shore up Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac is an ``unmitigated disaster' and the largest
U.S. mortgage lenders are ``basically insolvent,'
according to investor Jim Rogers.
Taxpayers will be saddled with debt if Congress
approves U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's
request for the authority to buy unlimited stakes in
and lend to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, Rogers said
in a Bloomberg Television interview. Rogers is
betting that Fannie Mae shares will keep tumbling.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analyst Daniel Zimmerman
said the mortgage finance companies' shares may fall
another 35 percent and lowered his share-price
estimate for Fannie Mae to $7 from $18 and for
Freddie Mac to $5 from $17. Freddie Mac fell 18
cents, or 2.3 percent, to $7.57 at 11:16 a.m. in New
York Stock Exchange trading, while Fannie Mae rose
13 cents, or 1.3 percent, to $10.38.
``I don't know where these guys get the audacity to
take our money, taxpayer money, and buy stock in
Fannie Mae,' Rogers, 65, said in an interview from
Singapore. ``So we're going to bail out everybody
else in the world. And it ruins the Federal
Reserve's balance sheet and it makes the dollar more
vulnerable and it increases inflation.'
The chairman of Rogers Holdings, who in April 2006
correctly predicted oil would reach $100 a barrel
and gold $1,000 an ounce, also said the commodities
bull market has a ``long way to go' and advised
buying agricultural commodities.
Going `Bankrupt'
Rogers, a former partner of hedge fund manager
George Soros, predicted the start of the commodities
rally in 1999 and started buying Chinese stocks in
the same year. He traveled the world by motorcycle
and car in the 1990s researching investment ideas
for his books, which include ``Adventure Capitalist'
and ``Hot Commodities.'
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac each surged more than 20
percent in pre-market trading today after Paulson
moved to stem a collapse in confidence in the two
companies that purchase or finance almost half of
the $12 trillion in U.S. home loans.
Fannie Mae's market value is now about $10 billion,
down from $38.9 billion at the end of 2007. Freddie
Mac's market value has shrunk to about $5 billion
from $22 billion at the end of last year.
``These companies were going to go bankrupt if they
hadn't stepped in to do something, and they
should've gone bankrupt with all of the mistakes
they've made,' Rogers said. ``What's going to happen
when you Band-Aid and put some Band-Aids on it for
another year or two or three? What's going to happen
three years from now when the situation's much,
much, much worse?'
Last Week's Slump
Paulson's proposal, which the Treasury anticipates
will be incorporated into an existing congressional
bill and approved this week, signals a shift toward
an explicit guarantee of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
debt.
The Federal Reserve separately authorized the firms
to borrow directly from the central bank.
Washington-based Fannie Mae slid 45 percent last
week, while McLean, Virginia-based Freddie Mac sank
47 percent on concern they may require a bailout
that would wipe out shareholders.
Former St. Louis Federal Reserve President William
Poole last week said in an interview that Freddie
Mac is technically insolvent under fair value
accounting, which measure a company's net worth if
it had to liquidate all its assets to repay
liabilities. Poole said Fannie Mae may also become
insolvent this quarter.
Shorts Uncovered
Rogers said he had not covered his so-called short
positions in Fannie Mae and would increase his bet
if it were to rally. Short sellers borrow stock and
then sell it in an effort to profit by repurchasing
the securities later at a lower price and returning
them to the holder.
The U.S. economy is in a recession, possibly the
worst since World War II, Rogers said.
``They're ruining what has been one of the greatest
economies in the world,' Rogers said. Bernanke and
Paulson ``are bailing out their friends on Wall
Street but there are 300 million Americans that are
going to have to pay for this.'
|
| I'm
usually not political but- Who will be asked to
pay for all of this? This should make you worry. |
Proposed changes in taxes after 2008 General election:
CAPITAL GAINS TAX
MCCAIN
0% on home sales up to $500,000 per home (couples).
McCain does not propose any change in existing home
sales income tax.
OBAMA
28% on profit from ALL home sales
How does this affect you? If you sell your home
and make a profit, you will pay 28% of your gain on
taxes. If you are heading toward retirement and would
like to down-size your home or move into a
retirement community, 28% of the money you make from
your home will go to taxes. This proposal will
adversely affect the elderly who are counting on the
income from their homes as part of their retirement
income.
DIVIDEND TAX
McCAIN 15% (no
change)
OBAMA 39.6%
How will this affect you? If you have any money
invested in stock market, IRA, mutual funds, college
funds, life insurance, retirement accounts, or
anything that pays or reinvests dividends, you will
now be paying nearly 40% of the money earned on
taxes if Obama becomes president. The experts predict
that 'Higher tax rates on dividends and capital
gains would crash the stock market, yet do
absolutely nothing to cut the deficit.'
INCOME TAX
McCAIN
(no changes)
Single making 30K - tax $4,500 Single making 50K - tax
$12,500 Single making 75K - tax $18,750 Married making
60K- tax $9,000 Married making 75K - tax $18,750
Married making 125K - tax $31,250
OBAMA (reversion to pre-Bush tax cuts)
Single making 30K - tax $8,400 Single making 50K - tax
$14,000 Single making 75K - tax $23,250 Married making
60K - tax $16,800 Married making 75K - tax $21,000
Married making 125K - tax $38,750
Under Obama, your taxes will more than double!
How does this affect you? No explanation needed. This
is pretty straight forward.
INHERITANCE TAX
MCCAIN 0% (No
change, Bush repealed this tax)
OBAMA
Restore the inheritance tax
How does this affect you? Many families have lost
businesses, farms, ranches, and homes that have been
in their families for generations because they
could not afford the inheritance tax. Those willing
their assets to loved ones will only lose them
to these taxes. NEW TAXES BEING PROPOSED BY OBAMA
New government taxes proposed on homes that are more
than 2400 square feet.
New gasoline taxes
New taxes on natural resources consumption (heating
gas, water, electricity)
New taxes on retirement accounts,
New taxes to pay for socialized medicine so we can
receive the same level of medical care as other
third-world countries!!!
www.money.cnn.com
Most of my readers fall in the "upper tax
brackets" and should be aware of the above.
Please, no emails about the above - I just want you to
examine the facts and then make your own decision.
|
| No
one is talking about this but it may well be another
giant problem in the brewing |
For the past few years Insurance companies have been
aggressively marketing and selling a new form of
variable annuity that allows you to buy stocks and the
annuity guarantees that they will pay out based on the
highest value of the stocks regardless how low they
may fall. It sound's great, but maybe someone
should ask "how can they do it?" Well,
I did ask - a close friend's son runs a division of a
major insurance company that sells these mutual fund
and annuity products and I had him ask his son how can
they afford the huge losses if (when) the stock market
really takes a plunge? The answer that I got
back was far from re-assuring. Here is what I
was told. Most people never cash out, because
the surrender penalties are very severe, so they take
the long-term annuity payments. Investors can
only withdraw 6% or 7% a year from the annuity.
They have purchased re-insurance to cover any losses
(derivatives again).
|
Bank
losses from credit crisis may run to $1,600bn, warns
Bridgewater
By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard |
Bridgewater Associates has issued an apocalyptic
warning to clients that bank losses from the worldwide
credit crisis may reach $1,600bn (800bn), four times
official estimates and enough to pose a grave risk to
the financial system.
The giant US hedge fund said that it doubted whether
lenders would be able to shoulder the full losses,
disguised until now by "mark-to-model"
methods of valuing structured credit.
"We are facing an avalanche of bad assets. We
have big doubts as to whether financial institutions
will be able to obtain enough new capital to cover
their losses. The credit crisis is going to get
worse," said the group in a confidential report,
leaked to the Swiss newspaper SonntagsZeitung.
Bank losses on this scale would have far-reaching
effects. Lenders would have to curtail loans by
roughly 10-to-one to preserve their capital ratios.
This would imply a further contraction of credit by up
to $12,000bn worldwide unless banks could raise fresh
capital.
It would be almost impossible to attract or even find
such sums from investors. While sovereign wealth funds
command roughly $3,000bn in funds, this money is
mostly committed already. The funds have grown
extremely wary of Western banks with sub-prime
exposure after burning their fingers so many times
already.
Jim Sinclair's comments on the above article by
Pritchard: Once again we can thank the super
wealthy OTC manufacturing geeks that are still
producing this toxic crap.
Soon we will hear $2 trillion, then $3 trillion as
losses continue to increase. Gold is going to
$1200. The US dollar is headed to .5200 and the euro
to $2.00.
Sinclair issues a warning on pension fund
My Dear Friends,
Are you still mulling over Harry Schultz and my
statement that this is it? Are you stuck in the grip
of inaction because some modest inconvenience is
required in order to protect you and your family?
There isn't a dime in this for us, just a lot of
frustration when we see only a few thousand out of the
hundreds of thousands that read this site protecting
themselves. Very few of you have done anything more
than look for a tip to trade with.
I told you months ago that this is it through a
personal email to those that requested to be on our
free email list. Not only have I told you recently
that this is it, but that the "it" of that
formula is now. I do not, like last night, stay up
well past the end of the day attending to you and my
corporate responsibilities for some ego-bound purpose.
You hear from me seven days a week. Are you going to
take responsibility for your personal financial safety
and do the necessary?
It is so
simple. Eliminate as many financial agents between you
and what is yours as possible. Do it NOW!
If only 13% act then I am deeply disappointed at your
reaction to reality. Monty, Trader Dan and I have no
intention of being used as a tip sheet. Kiss your
pensions, both vested and God help you if not vested,
away.
Pension funds are taking massive hits that have
significantly reduced and in some cases eliminated for
practical purposes what many have been counting on for
retirement. Are you going to wait to see your bank and
broker go also?
There is no way a government guarantee via
quasi-government entities can insure all pensions and
deposits up to $100,000. That is a master insurance
accountant's worst nightmare.
Have you prepared a thank you note to the herd of
millionaire OTC derivative geeks for their fine work?
Before this is over these financial sociopaths will
anger the wrong person and someone will pay the
ultimate price. Like the experience of a recently
incarcerated hedge fund manager, you can run but you
can't hide forever. Did you know his mother turned him
in to the authorities?
Respectfully yours,
Jim
|
Miles Franklin,
Ltd.
1001 Twelve Oaks Center Drive, Suite #1028
Wayzata, MN 55391
Toll Free
(800) 822-8080
Fax (952) 476-7971
www.milesfranklin.com
Email: Andrew
Schectman- andy@milesfranklin.com
Email: Bob Sichel- bsichel@ix.netcom.com
Email: Michael Spector-
michaelispector@aol.com
Email: David Upham- DavidUpham@milesfranklin.com
Email: Derek
Winebarger- dwinebarger@callmykate.com
Email: Zhanna
Schectman- zhanna@milesfranklin.com
Email:
Jim Ehmke-ehmke5@aol.com
(Clients of Jim Ehmke 866-805-9115)
If you would like to send an email or view our website, all
you have to do is click on the milesfranklin.com link or email
link above.
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Information
contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be
reliable, but there is no guarantee as to completeness or
accuracy. Because individual investment objectives vary, this
Summary should not be construed as advice to meet the
particular needs of the reader. Any opinions expressed herein
are statements of our judgment as of this date and are subject
to change without notice. Any action taken as a result of
reading this independent market research is solely the
responsibility of the reader. Stone Investment Group is not
and does not profess to be a professional investment advisor,
and strongly encourages all readers to consult with their own
personal financial advisors, attorneys, and accountants before
making any investment decision. Stone Investment Group and/or
independent consultants or members of their families may have
a position in the securities mentioned. Mr. Morgan does
consult on a paid basis both with private investors and
various companies. Investing and speculation are inherently
risky and should not be undertaken without professional
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Investment Group will not be held liable or responsible for
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